Hanoi – September 15, 2025 – (Qahwa World) – Vietnam is preparing for the 2025/26 coffee harvest season with a sense of optimism, as early forecasts point to higher yields, improved quality, and significant progress on sustainability initiatives. Industry experts confirm that weather conditions, farming practices, and regulatory readiness are aligning to strengthen the country’s position as one of the world’s most important coffee producers.
Production expectations for the new crop are estimated at 29.65 million bags, an 8.3% increase compared with last year. Robusta, the dominant variety in Vietnam, is projected at 28.34 million bags (+7.4% year-on-year), while Arabica is forecast to reach 1.31 million bags, marking an impressive 31.3% rise. These estimates are based on crop surveys and current field observations. Farmers report that the cherries are developing steadily, with many Robusta plants entering maturation and Arabica already approaching harvest.
Hava koşulları şu ana kadar olumlu seyretmiş ve yağışlar tarihsel ortalamalara yakın olmuştur. Bu da hasat zamanlamasının geçen seneyi yansıtacağını gösteriyor: Arabica'nın Eylül ortasında, Robusta'nın Ekim ortasında başlaması, her ikisinin de Aralık başında zirveye ulaşması ve Ocak sonunda sona ermesi bekleniyor. Elverişli koşulların devam etmesi halinde budama, ayıklama ve gölge yönetimi gibi İyi Tarım Uygulamalarının (GAP) giderek daha fazla benimsenmesiyle kalitenin artması bekleniyor. Birçok çiftçi de kimyasal gübreden organik komposta geçiş yapıyor; bunun da fincan kalitesini daha da artırması ve girdi maliyetlerini düşürmesi bekleniyor.
Bu aşamada, önemli bir zorluk rapor edilmemiştir. Üreticiler ve işleyiciler iyimserdir ve tarımsal emtia genelinde yüksek fiyatlar çiftçilere üst üste ikinci yılda da güçlü getiri sağlamaktadır. Bu ekonomik istikrar, birçok kişinin daha iyi girdilere ve daha sürdürülebilir uygulamalara yatırım yapmasını sağlayarak hem üretim hem de geçim kaynakları için olumlu bir görünüm yaratıyor.
Vietnam’s coffee industry is also navigating an evolving regulatory environment. Domestically, the government has introduced a 5% Value Added Tax (VAT) on coffee trading, with exporters and buyers required to comply through verified suppliers. On the international stage, the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) will come into force on January 1, 2026. Although not yet active, Vietnamese supply chains are already preparing by strengthening traceability systems and collecting farm-level data to ensure compliance when the regulation takes effect.
Sustainability remains a central focus this year, with multiple initiatives underway to boost farm productivity, resilience, and environmental responsibility. The IMPACT responsible sourcing program continues to expand, with a 4,000-metric-ton supply chain in Gia Lai now in its second verification cycle and a 3,500-metric-ton chain in Lâm Đồng advancing into its third year. According to Senior Sustainability Coordinator Nhu Le, more than 80% of the supply chain has now been mapped using polygon farm plots, a sharp increase from 30% earlier this year, both to prepare for EUDR and to support broader forest conservation efforts.
Arabica yetiştirilen bölgelerde de genişleme gerçekleşiyor. Son La ve Lâm Đồng'da, beş ıslak değirmende 1.500'den fazla çiftçi RA, 4C ve Global Coffee Platform (GCP) kapsamında sertifikalandırılan programlara katıldı. Bu çiftçiler, uluslararası standartlarla uyumlu sürdürülebilir tarım uygulamaları konusunda eğitim alarak Vietnam'ın sorumlu tedarikçiler ağını daha da güçlendiriyor.
Farmer training remains a cornerstone of the country’s sustainability agenda. Over the past season, more than 1,500 farmers have participated in interactive workshops covering composting, fertilizer management, water and weed control, Integrated Pest Management (IPM), and shade tree cultivation. These sessions not only transfer technical knowledge but also create opportunities for farmers to share experiences and apply practices directly in their fields, enhancing resilience at both farm and community level.
One of the most promising developments has been the shift from chemical fertilizers to organic composts. Farmers are increasingly learning to produce compost from coffee husk waste generated during Robusta natural processing. So far, nearly 500 farmers have been trained in composting techniques, collectively producing more than 3,000 metric tons of organic fertilizer. This practice reduces chemical inputs, improves soil health, cuts costs, and contributes to lower carbon emissions.
Tree planting projects are also taking root. Over the past year, farmers have received 47,000 forest and fruit tree seedlings, which will help diversify local ecosystems, improve environmental resilience, and provide additional sources of income through fruit and timber.
Soil and carbon initiatives are another priority. The Vietnam team has collected 475 soil samples to provide tailored fertilizer guidance, helping farmers cut input costs while maintaining yields and lowering emissions. At the same time, carbon footprint mapping is underway across partner projects, with the results expected to shape long-term reduction strategies and support compliance with new global standards.
The combination of favorable weather, improved agricultural practices, and strong sustainability investments has positioned Vietnam’s coffee industry for a productive 2025/26 season. With production projected to rise and sustainability outcomes deepening, the outlook for both farmers and buyers is positive. The sector’s early adaptation to regulatory changes and its ongoing commitment to responsible sourcing reinforce Vietnam’s role as a global leader in coffee supply.
As the harvest begins in the coming weeks, industry stakeholders are closely watching how these combined efforts will translate into both higher yields and better quality in the cup. For now, Vietnam’s coffee story in 2025/26 is one of growth, resilience, and readiness for the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
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